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new Colmar Brunton out tonight:
Party Support
National 51.0% (+6.0%)
Labour 34.0% (nc)
Green 8.0% (-5.0%)
ACT 0.4% (-0.1%)
Maori 0.9% (-0.5%)
United Future 0.3% (+0.2%)
Mana 0.0% (-0.3%)
NZ First 3.1% (-0.8%)
Conservative 1.3% (-0.3%)
Projected Seats
National 64
Labour 44
Green 11
ACT 1
Maori 3
United Future 1
Mana 1
NZ First 0
Conservative 0
Total 125
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
CR – National 64 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 66/125 – three more than minimum needed to govern
CL – Labour 44 + Greens 11 + Mana 1= 56/125 – seven fewer than minimum needed to govern
C – Maori 3 + NZ First 0 = 3/125
On this poll there would be a centre-right Government.
Preferred PM
John Key 43% (+1.0%)
David Cunliffe 10% (-2.0%)
Winston Peters 4% (nc)
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